Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.000626 0.000719 0.000817 0.000929 0.001052 0.001184 0.001335
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.000481 0.000607 0.000752 0.000928 0.001135 0.001369 0.001651
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.000410 0.000552 0.000723 0.000939 0.001203 0.001512 0.001898
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000339 0.000487 0.000671 0.000915 0.001222 0.001594 0.002071
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000284 0.000431 0.000624 0.000887 0.001231 0.001656 0.002215
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000248 0.000397 0.000600 0.000885 0.001267 0.001751 0.002400
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000219 0.000369 0.000579 0.000883 0.001302 0.001843 0.002582
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000191 0.000339 0.000553 0.000872 0.001321 0.001913 0.002736
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000166 0.000309 0.000524 0.000854 0.001329 0.001967 0.002867
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000153 0.000298 0.000522 0.000873 0.001388 0.002090 0.003092
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000141 0.000287 0.000518 0.000888 0.001440 0.002205 0.003309
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000124 0.000264 0.000495 0.000873 0.001448 0.002256 0.003440
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000107 0.000241 0.000469 0.000852 0.001447 0.002297 0.003559
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000097 0.000228 0.000458 0.000855 0.001481 0.002387 0.003749
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000089 0.000219 0.000453 0.000864 0.001525 0.002493 0.003962
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000076 0.000199 0.000429 0.000842 0.001517 0.002523 0.004067
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000065 0.000181 0.000404 0.000816 0.001503 0.002542 0.004156
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000058 0.000170 0.000393 0.000814 0.001526 0.002616 0.004325
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000053 0.000161 0.000383 0.000812 0.001550 0.002692 0.004499
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000046 0.000150 0.000369 0.000802 0.001558 0.002742 0.004635
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000040 0.000138 0.000352 0.000785 0.001555 0.002775 0.004745
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.000038 0.000135 0.000354 0.000803 0.001610 0.002901 0.004997
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.000035 0.000132 0.000354 0.000817 0.001659 0.003017 0.005237